Region 17

[Crab's Brother]

As I first predicted 5 weeks ago, teams 7-8 in this region are not going to be very good. The fact that Southeastern is sitting at 7th with a 3-4 record coming off a 35 point blowout loss to a 2-4 team, should show just how bad team 7 down are. I have no idea what happens in the SVC. If SE or Westfall win out, chances are they make the final 8. The last spot would probably be for the taking for Ironton if they win their last 2. If they falter, a 5-5 West team will have a chance. Time permitting tonight, I am going to run possible points for teams 7-14 and see what I come up with.

As it has been since week 2, the 4-5 game is what you want to avoid. Even with a few of these teams dropping games this week, the top 5 are still heads and shoulders above the other 22 teams in the region.

[nice guy]

The SVC in football is never that good, but it is really bad this year.

[bulldawg22]

Southeastern and Westfall play each other this week. One of them will be eliminated.

[nutronron2012]

Region 17
Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (6-1, D5 R17) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #5 or better, controls own destiny for a home game
Wheelersburg (7-0, D5 R17) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #6 or better, controls own destiny for a home game
St Clairsville (6-1, D5 R17) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #6 or better, needs a little help for a home game
Liberty Union (Baltimore) (6-1, D5 R17) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #7 or better, needs a little help for a home game
Martins Ferry (6-1, D5 R17) -
Fairland (Proctorville) (4-3, D5 R17) -
Ironton (2-5, D5 R17) -
Westfall (Williamsport) (3-4, D5 R17) -
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) (3-4, D5 R17) -
Portsmouth (2-5, D5 R17) -
Southeastern (Chillicothe) (3-4, D5 R17) -
Piketon (3-4, D5 R17) -
Adena (Frankfort) (3-4, D5 R17) -
Union Local (Belmont) (3-4, D5 R17) -
Wellston (3-4, D5 R17) -
South Point (5-2, D5 R17) -
Waverly (2-5, D5 R17) -
Zane Trace (Chillicothe) (2-5, D5 R17) -
Mount Gilead (3-4, D5 R17) -
Northwest (Mc Dermott) (3-4, D5 R17) -
Northridge (Johnstown) (2-5, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Coshocton (1-6, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Alexander (Albany) (1-6, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
River Valley (Cheshire) (1-6, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Chesapeake (1-6, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Rock Hill (Ironton) (0-7, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-7, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention

[Region 15]

Martins Ferry might be in a little trouble in a very very difficult game at Indian Creek. A player or two might be out..........remember the Brownsville Station song ?

[EasternDspy]

Ironton with a win over Oak Hill could sneak in.

[jagered]

If its and buts were candy and nuts we would all have great Christmas haha something like that, if Ironton can win 2outof3 they are in BUT I am presuming the 2 wins they have to get is against Hartley and the chances of that happening is about 99.9999999% not going to happen, but the other 2 are winnable.Just makin conversation and I don't have a dog in the fight either way, I am just always looking to see how we can get the most teams in around our area.

[jagered]

Region 17 Playoff Berth Probabilities (projected cutoff 10.62)
Bishop Hartley (Columbus) 100%
St Clairsville 100%
Liberty Union (Baltimore) 100%
Wheelersburg 100%
Fairland (Proctorville) 99% (5W-99% 6W-100% 7W-100% )
Martins Ferry 99% (6W-99% 7W-100% 8W-100% 9W-100% )
Westfall (Williamsport) 80% (4W-9% 5W-86% 6W-99% )
Ironton 31% (4W-94% 5W-100% )
Piketon 25% (4W-1% 5W-31% 6W-93% )
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) 17% (4W-1% 5W-20% 6W-99% )
South Point 11% (6W-1% 7W-9% 8W-64% )
Southeastern (Chillicothe) 10% (4W-1% 5W-16% 6W-94% )
Portsmouth 8% (4W-13% 5W-99% )
Wellston 6% (4W-1% 5W-7% 6W-78% )
Zane Trace (Chillicothe) 5% (4W-1% 5W-19% )
Adena (Frankfort) 4% (5W-12% 6W-93% )

[jagered]

Westfall is going to be the wild card and possibly knock an 8-2 or 7-3 team out like a Fairland.

Most likely to win only 5 games, but get in the playoffs
Mohawk (Sycamore) (3-4, D7 R24) 42% (99%)
Calvert (Tiffin) (3-4, D7 R24) 41% (99%)
Westfall (Williamsport) (3-4, D5 R17) 38% (86%)
Beachwood (5-2, D5 R15) 37% (60%)
La Salle (Cincinnati) (3-4, D2 R6) 35% (96%)
Chaminade-Julienne (Dayton) (4-3, D5 R18) 33% (74%)
St Xavier (Cincinnati) (4-3, D1 R2) 30% (65%)
Padua Franciscan (Parma) (3-4, D3 R8) 28% (93%)
Trinity (Garfield Heights) (3-4, D7 R23) 22% (66%)
St Ignatius (Cleveland) (4-3, D1 R1) 18% (84%)

[jagered]

Most likely to win only 4 games, but get in the playoffs
Ursuline (Youngstown) (3-3, D5 R15) 48% (97%)
Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (2-4, D4 R13) 44% (99%)
Ironton (2-5, D5 R17) 18% (94%)
Mohawk (Sycamore) (3-4, D7 R24) 17% (42%)
Padua Franciscan (Parma) (3-4, D3 R8) 16% (36%)

Most likely to win only 3 games, but get in the playoffs
Bishop Watterson (Columbus) (2-4, D4 R13) 18% (49%)
Youngstown Christian (Youngstown) (2-4, D7 R23) 16% (40%)
Ironton (2-5, D5 R17) 13% (26%)
Ursuline (Youngstown) (3-3, D5 R15) 7% (19%)

[jagered]

Region 17
Bishop Hartley (Columbus) (6-1, D5 R17) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #5 or better, controls own destiny for a home game
Wheelersburg (7-0, D5 R17) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #6 or better, controls own destiny for a home game
St Clairsville (6-1, D5 R17) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #6 or better, needs a little help for a home game
Liberty Union (Baltimore) (6-1, D5 R17) - Clinched playoff berth, seed #7 or better, needs a little help for a home game
Martins Ferry (6-1, D5 R17) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
Fairland (Proctorville) (4-3, D5 R17) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
Ironton (2-5, D5 R17) - Controls own destiny for a playoff berth
Westfall (Williamsport) (3-4, D5 R17) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) (3-4, D5 R17) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Portsmouth (2-5, D5 R17) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Southeastern (Chillicothe) (3-4, D5 R17) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Piketon (3-4, D5 R17) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Adena (Frankfort) (3-4, D5 R17) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Union Local (Belmont) (3-4, D5 R17) - Needs a little help for a playoff berth
Wellston (3-4, D5 R17) - Needs help for a playoff berth
South Point (5-2, D5 R17) - Needs help for a playoff berth
Waverly (2-5, D5 R17) - Needs help for a playoff berth
Zane Trace (Chillicothe) (2-5, D5 R17) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Mount Gilead (3-4, D5 R17) - Needs a lot of help for a playoff berth
Northwest (Mc Dermott) (3-4, D5 R17) - Needs a miracle for a playoff berth
Northridge (Johnstown) (2-5, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Coshocton (1-6, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Alexander (Albany) (1-6, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
River Valley (Cheshire) (1-6, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Chesapeake (1-6, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
Rock Hill (Ironton) (0-7, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention
West Muskingum (Zanesville) (0-7, D5 R17) - Eliminated from playoff contention

[Trojan_Pride]

should look like this if math is correct

7 westfall 7.1625
8. south point 7.0833
9. ports west 6.7125
10. south eastern 6.3250
11. adena 6.3125
12 . ironton 5.3409



side note ironton beats oak hill and Russell wins next week tigers will have 9.0303 :122245

[fuzzhead]

Adena pulled the upset against Paint Valley and now they control their own destiny. Possibility: Adena wins out, Westfall gets to 5 wins, and both make the playoffs. Gross.

[Trojan_Pride]

Adena pulled the upset against Paint Valley and now they control their own destiny. Possibility: Adena wins out, Westfall gets to 5 wins, and both make the playoffs. Gross.

I don't see both making it they play each other week 10 loser probably out ! ironton , west and south point all looking for last spot

wait I take that back you are right pending 1 ironton loss and both adena and westfall win in week 9

2 ironton wins and there in no questions

[Trojan_Pride]

best chances for 7-8 spot

Ironton (win both games ) IN
westfall or adena (win both games ) IN
sp win both games then needs help (a ironton loss is some help) but I think they still need a little more help from the teams they have beaten
southeastern win both games and needs help
ports west win over burg trumps most of the above LOL + win week 9

[fuzzhead]

The fact that two OVC teams or two SVC teams could make the playoffs this year is really just disgusting to me.

[dragonsfan24]

Playoff Rankings as of 10/22/13
1. Bishop Hartley (7-1) [16.7564]
2. Wheelersburg (8-0) [16.5750]
3. St Clairsville (7-1) [15.8542]
4. Martins Ferry (7-1) [15.6521]
5. Liberty Union (7-1) [14.9500]
6. Fairland (5-3) [12.2125]
7. Westfall (4-4) [7.1625]
8. South Point (6-2) [7.0833]
-----------------------
9. Portsmouth West (4-4) [6.7125]
10. Southeastern (3-5) [6.3250]
11. Adena (4-4) [6.3125]
12. Ironton (2-6) [5.3409]
----------------------
16. Union Local (3-5) [4.3250]
17. Portsmouth (2-6) [3.9750]


Hartley and Wheelersburg have all but officially clenched the top 2 playoff spots.
St. Clairsville has clenched a spot in the playoffs and have all but officially clenched a home game in the first round.
Martins Ferry and Liberty Union have clenched playoff spots, but a loss can put their seeds in jeopardy.
Fairland can still clench a home game for round one by winning out and Liberty or Ferry losing 1 or more games.

Westfall and South Point must win out to ensure playoff berths.
Portsmouth West, Southeastern, Adena, and Ironton must win out and will need Westfall and South Point to lose out for a playoff berth.

IF Union Local and Portsmouth can win out, and all the teams above them lose out, they are the only two teams below the #12 spot that could potentially make the playoffs. Wellston, Piketon, and Zane Trace have all but officially been mathematically eliminated from a playoff berth this season.

[Crab's Brother]

Playoff Rankings as of 10/22/13
1. Bishop Hartley (7-1) [16.7564]
2. Wheelersburg (8-0) [16.5750]
3. St Clairsville (7-1) [15.8542]
4. Martins Ferry (7-1) [15.6521]
5. Liberty Union (7-1) [14.9500]
6. Fairland (5-3) [12.2125]
7. Westfall (4-4) [7.1625]
8. South Point (6-2) [7.0833]
-----------------------
9. Portsmouth West (4-4) [6.7125]
10. Southeastern (3-5) [6.3250]
11. Adena (4-4) [6.3125]
12. Ironton (2-6) [5.3409]
----------------------
16. Union Local (3-5) [4.3250]
17. Portsmouth (2-6) [3.9750]


Hartley and Wheelersburg have all but officially clenched the top 2 playoff spots.
St. Clairsville has clenched a spot in the playoffs and have all but officially clenched a home game in the first round.
Martins Ferry and Liberty Union have clenched playoff spots, but a loss can put their seeds in jeopardy.
Fairland can still clench a home game for round one by winning out and Liberty or Ferry losing 1 or more games.

Westfall and South Point must win out to ensure playoff berths.
Portsmouth West, Southeastern, Adena, and Ironton must win out and will need Westfall and South Point to lose out for a playoff berth.

IF Union Local and Portsmouth can win out, and all the teams above them lose out, they are the only two teams below the #12 spot that could potentially make the playoffs. Wellston, Piketon, and Zane Trace have all but officially been mathematically eliminated from a playoff berth this season.

1. Hartley could possibly lose their last two and Wheelersburg could lose this week. If Ferry and/or LU win out and Hartley and Burg do lose, that first statement is no where near accurate. That statement won't be decided until this weekend.

2. I haven't added it up, but if Ferry and Liberty Union both win out, I am fairly confident that both could pass St. Clairsville. Their lead is less than one point on both and each have huge point games coming up over the next two weeks.

3. I have no idea what you are adding up, but if Liberty Union and/or Ferry win at least one more game game, their is no way Fairland catches them. 7-3 Fairland finishes with about a 16.15 average. If Ferry loses to Bellaire they will get to 18.69. That is with no help at all from their defeated out of state opponents. Even if Ferry loses twice and gets no defeated opponents wins, I believe West would have to upset Wheelersburg or Meigs would have to knock off Athens for Fairland to pass MF. Even if Liberty Union loses out, they will still finish ahead of Fairland. There is no way Fairland gets higher than the 6 seed. They have no chance at a home game.

4. There is a lot wrong with this statement. First, West would control their own destiny. If they beat Wheelersburg, they will jump all the way to #7. If Ironton wins 2 they will also pass South Point and probably Westfall. Neither Westfall or South Point winning out will "ensure playoff berths". Neither schools controls their own destiny. If Ironton wins out, they are in. If West finds a way to upset the Burg, they are in.

I am not trying to be an ass, but for the most part, everything you wrote is false.

[Crab's Brother]

Not sure where the word booty came from, but that is not what I typed.

[Trojan_Pride]

a week 9 loss by adena and westfall will really throw this bottom 2 spots into a major math headache LOL. you gotta feel bad for ports west playing burg in week 10 and south points 7 win teams (if point wins this week) only going 3-10 or 4-9 at best in final 2 weeks and the point MUST beat the grove even to be considered.

what south point really needs is

1. win both games
2. a loss by ironton and west
3. week 9 loss by adena and westfall (the 2 play each other week 10 so 2 losses by either of them and they wont make it)

good luck to all involved and especially the TIGERS
go booty lol